Okay, so I’ve gotten into this habit lately, trying to figure out how Felix Auger-Aliassime’s matches might turn out before they happen. It’s become a bit of a personal project, just for fun really, and I thought I’d share how I go about it.
My Approach to Predicting
First off, I don’t use any fancy software or deep statistical models. It’s more about feeling things out based on what I can easily find and observe. The first thing I usually do is check his recent form. How has he been playing in the last few tournaments or matches? Did he get some good wins, or were there tough losses? This gives me a basic idea of his current momentum.
Then, I absolutely have to look at who he’s playing against. Tennis isn’t played in a vacuum, right? So, I check the opponent’s recent results too. More importantly, I think about their head-to-head record if they’ve played before. Sometimes, one player just has another player’s number, regardless of current form. I also try to consider the opponent’s style. Are they a big server? A grinder? How does that usually match up against Felix’s game, his big serve and forehand?
If I have time, and it’s possible, I try to watch highlights or even parts of his most recent matches. You can sometimes pick up on things that stats don’t show – like body language, confidence levels, or if his serve is clicking or misfiring. Seeing it with my own eyes helps.
The court surface is another big piece I consider. Felix has his preferences, like most players. His results can definitely vary between clay, grass, and hard courts. So, I always check what surface the current tournament is being played on and think about how well his game translates to it, and also how his opponent typically performs on that surface.
After looking at all that stuff – recent form, the opponent, head-to-head, maybe watching a bit, and the surface – I sort of mull it over. Sometimes the data points clearly one way. Other times, it’s really mixed.
Making the Call
Honestly, sometimes after all the checking, it comes down to a bit of a gut feeling. Maybe I saw something in a recent press conference, or just have a hunch based on the matchup. It’s not very scientific, I know!
Finally, I make my prediction. Usually just win or lose for Felix. I don’t often get into predicting sets or scores unless I feel really strongly. I keep a simple note of my prediction, maybe just on my phone or a notepad. It’s interesting to go back later and see how often I was right or wrong. It’s definitely not a perfect system, I get plenty wrong, but it adds an extra layer of engagement when I watch him play. It’s just my way of following along and trying to understand the dynamics of his matches.
