Okay, folks, let’s dive into this Newcastle vs. Sunderland prediction thing I messed around with today.
My Little Experiment with the Tyne-Wear Derby Prediction
So, I’ve always been a bit of a football stats geek. Not like, a professional analyst or anything, just someone who likes to dig into the numbers. And with the Tyne-Wear Derby (that’s Newcastle vs. Sunderland for the uninitiated) – even though they aren’t playing soon- I was curious about how I could try to “predict” the outcome, just for fun.
First, I grabbed some historical data. I just went on some football stats websites and started compiling results from past matches between these two. I put all this into a simple spreadsheet – nothing fancy, just wins, losses, draws, goals scored, goals against, that sort of stuff. My thinking was, the more past data I have, the better, right?
Then, I started looking at more recent form. You know, how each team has been playing in their last few games. Wins, losses, again, but also things like, are they scoring a lot of goals? Are they conceding a lot? Are they playing better at home or away? All that jazz. I figured this would give me a better sense of their current ability, not just their historical performance.
Then Looked at the team’s recent performance, record their goals, and see how much they have won or lost.
- Sunderland recent results
Sunderland 0-0 QPR
Cardiff 0-0 Sunderland
Sunderland0-1 Swansea
- Newcastle recent results
Newcastle 4-0 Tottenham
Crystal Palace 2-0 Newcastle
Newcastle 5-1 Sheffield United
Next, I tried to factor in some “intangibles.” This is where it gets a bit less scientific and more…gut feeling. Things like, are there any key players injured or suspended? Is there a new manager who might have changed the team’s style? Is there anything going on off the field that might affect the players’ morale? I read some news articles and fan forums to get a sense of this stuff.
Finally, I tried to put all this information together. I didn’t use any fancy algorithms or anything, I just kind of…weighed it all up in my head. Like, “Okay, historically Newcastle have a slight edge, but Sunderland have been playing better recently, but Newcastle have their star striker back from injury…” That sort of thing.
My “prediction”? Well, I’m not going to put any money on it, that’s for sure! It’s more of an educated guess. Based on my little experiment, I’d say it would be a tightly contested match. Newcastle might edge it, given their overall quality and maybe a home advantage (if they were playing at home), but Sunderland are definitely capable of causing an upset. Could easily be a draw, too.
It’s all just a bit of fun, really. Football is unpredictable, that’s why we love it! But it’s interesting to see how you can try to use data and a bit of common sense to make an informed guess, even if it’s probably wrong!
